New Interest Rate Increase? - CPI up 7.1%, $1 = 7.15 yuan

From China Daily - the Government's English National newspaper:  "The People's Bank of China, the central bank, set the yuan's central parity rate at 7.1574 to the greenback, up from Monday's 7.1667."

From Xinhua Press, the Chinese Government's Press (in English): "Surging consumer prices in China didn't show a slowdown sign, with the consumer price index (CPI) hitting a new high of 7.1 percent in January."  "The January's figure was the highest monthly level since 1997." and also "Pork prices, which had been blamed as the major factor driving up CPI figures throughout the later half of last year, soared 58.8 percent in January, the bureau said."

As my students astutely pointed out, we expect the People's Bank of China (the Federal Reserve Bank of China) to raise the
required reserve ratio and interest rates SOON!
(See my website under February 20 for the clipped articles.)

Brief Analysis:  If the yuan appreciates, exports to the U.S. become more expensive and imports into China (from the U.S.) are cheaper.  China hopes to cool inflation by making cheaper imports available.  This is a chance for U.S. manufacturers - to sell here and compete more easily in the U.S. (and abroad).
 

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