Blame Wall Street for $135 Oil - from Bloomberg.com
From this Bloomberg.com article:
"Proper range?!" - Hmmmm!
May 22 (Bloomberg) -- Oil's rally to a record
above $135 a barrel came as traders bought crude to cover wrong-way bets that
prices would decline, according to data from the New York Mercantile Exchange.
The number of outstanding futures contracts, known as open interest, fell 8.1 percent in a week to 1.36 million at the same time that prices rose 2.6 percent, the data show. Falling open interest and rising prices are signs that traders are buying to exit so-called short positions that would profit if oil fell, and lose money as they rose.
“In a market like today, which is trending higher while open interest is falling, it's a sign that money is moving out of the market,'' said Stephen Schork, president of Schork Group Inc. in Villanova, Pennsylvania. Open interest in Nymex crude futures peaked this year at 1.5 million on March 13. ...
“It is not a growing market, it is a shrinking market in terms of open interest,'' said Olivier Jakob, managing director of Petromatrix GmbH in Zug, Switzerland. ``It is also facilitating the move upward.''
The number of outstanding futures contracts, known as open interest, fell 8.1 percent in a week to 1.36 million at the same time that prices rose 2.6 percent, the data show. Falling open interest and rising prices are signs that traders are buying to exit so-called short positions that would profit if oil fell, and lose money as they rose.
“In a market like today, which is trending higher while open interest is falling, it's a sign that money is moving out of the market,'' said Stephen Schork, president of Schork Group Inc. in Villanova, Pennsylvania. Open interest in Nymex crude futures peaked this year at 1.5 million on March 13. ...
“It is not a growing market, it is a shrinking market in terms of open interest,'' said Olivier Jakob, managing director of Petromatrix GmbH in Zug, Switzerland. ``It is also facilitating the move upward.''
Record Oil
Oil prices have closed at record highs on 27 days so far this year, prompting OPEC oil ministers including Saudi Arabia's Ali al-Naimi to declare that the rally is led by investors, rather than a shortage of supply.Crude for delivery in December 2016 ended yesterday at $142.09 a barrel, signaling investors anticipate prices will gain for years. Some traders speculate oil will reach $200 this year. The price of a December 2008 option contract that allows the holder to buy 1,000 barrels of crude at $200 each jumped 67 percent in three days to $1.72 a barrel yesterday on the Nymex.
U.S. oil executives told Congress yesterday that prices should be between $35 and $90 a barrel. John Hofmeister, president of Shell Oil Co., the Houston-based subsidiary of Royal Dutch Shell Plc, pegged the proper range "somewhere between $35 and $65 a barrel.''
Saudi minister al-Naimi said in March when oil was trading near $100 that prices were unlikely to fall below $60 or $70, representing the cost of producing alternatives such as biofuels or tar sands."Proper range?!" - Hmmmm!

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