Bank of England cuts rates by 1.5%

The Central Banks of Europe, the Bank of England and the ECB (European Central Bank), cut interest rates today by huge amounts!  Now the U.S. dollar will definitely rise again as assets will look at dollar interest rates as more favorable than previously (after the Federal Reserve cut rates just a week ago on Oct. 29 - See my post for Oct. 30).

From the BBC.com:

The Bank of England has made a shock one-and-a-half percentage point cut in UK interest rates to 3%, the lowest level since 1955.


The size of the cut - the most dramatic since 1981 - signals the Bank's concern the UK is heading for a long recession, the BBC's economics editor says.


Shadow chancellor George Osborne said: "This is a shot in the arm for the economy, but it shows how sick the patient is."

Traders on the London market were also concerned about the message the cut conveyed. As a result, the FTSE 100 share index closed down 5.6%, or 255 points at 4,275.7.

The UK cut was followed by a less dramatic move from the European Central Bank, which lowered eurozone interest rates from 3.75% to 3.25%, to try to boost economic growth in the region.


                                     

Notice that while rates are down to 3% (base rate), over half of the United Kingdom's mortgages are FIXED!  Which means no change in their mortgages unless borrower and lender renegotiate.  The standard variable rate mortgages are different but affect less than 10% of mortgages! 

From the Financial Times online:

Equity markets slumped amid traders’ expectations that the weakness in the global economy would hit corporate profits.

The Bank of England said its dramatic move was a response to tightening credit conditions; the evidence of a “severe contraction” in the economy over coming months; and such a dramatic extinction of inflationary pressure that “at prevailing market interest rates, [there is] a substantial risk of undershooting the inflation target”.

Traders and economists took that final phrase to signify further rate cuts to come as the prevailing market interest rates already envisaged rates falling to 2.5 per cent. Market expectations are now for rates to fall below 2 per cent over the next year.

The markets' reactions are harder to decipher these days with SO MANY things happening AT THE SAME TIME.  The markets in England were down much less than in Europe, where rates fell by less, and in Asia the markets fell by even more. 

Notice that in the U.S.A., "the DOW" is back to where it was when the House of Representatives FIRST defeated the $700 billion bailout (8690 or so).  We've basically been bouncing around since then.

Tomorrow (Friday, November 7) the October jobs report will be available . Sure to be difficult!!! Yet how much is already priced into the market will be very interesting to watch!!! EVERYONE KNOWS the report is bad! The stock market TRADES on the information that is EXPECTED!
 

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