More Volatility, "Chump" at Treasury and Investment Opportunities!

Volatility with a BIG V!!  From Bloomberg.com today:

                

You can easily see that the market ended up where it was most of the day.  STILL that is a 400 point swing up and then back down (8900 to 8500 approximately), a 5.9% move up and then 5.6% fall!  All of the volatility indicators must be through the roof (very important for stock choices and riskiness, in the old days of stock picking!).

From the New York Times we have some interesting broker's comments:

It’s almost a classic bear market response,” said Michael Holland, manager of Holland and Company. “We’ve got incredible volatility, we’ve got a bear market, we’ve got lousy economic news. For people to take a chunk of that off the table before the weekend is to be expected.”

I wonder if those who lost the "paper profits" would agree with you Michael.

“We’re looking at a deep recession here,” Jay Bryson, global economist at Wachovia, said. “The one prop to the U.S. economy, which has been exports, is about to get kicked out from underneath it.”

The dollar sure has been strong recently, trading now at $1.26 to the Euro, $1.475 to the British pound and $0.80 to the Canadian dollar.  Not good for the booming exports of the second quarter!

..........

TARP has been kicked around in the Senate like a soccer ball (football to those of you outside the U.S.).  From Bloomberg.com (another article):

On Capitol Hill today, Neel Kashkari became the “chump” who stole Christmas.

Kashkari, who oversees the Treasury's $700 billion financial rescue plan, came under fire at a congressional hearing, notably by Maryland Democrat Elijah Cummings. Cummings was angry about reports American International Group Inc., which got an expanded $150 billion government bailout this week, is setting aside $503 million in compensation for executives.

“I'm just wondering how you feel about an AIG giving $503 million worth of bonuses on the one hand, and accepting $154 billion from hard-working taxpayers,” Cummings asked Kashkari. "What really bothers me is all these other people who are lining up. They say, well, is Kashkari a chump?''

Kashkari, who was selected by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson as interim head of the Troubled Asset Relief Program, told the panel that he was “outraged” when he first read the reports. Then he learned AIG has set aside the money to eliminate an incentive to leave the insurer, he said.

“I'm not defending it,” he said.

SO WHO IS IN CHARGE???  I just don't get how government officials can say "I'm not defending it" and then (according to Bloomberg.com reporter) say in the next sentence that "it's not my job!"
Kashkari, 35, said his department isn't in charge of bank oversight, and that financial regulators are working to ensure participating firms use capital to increase lending.
Classic - wasn't their a comedian (Freddie Prinz maybe) who made a living from that saying - "It's not my job!"  

Finally, we turn to another Bloomberg.com article for Investment Opportunities - yes, they follow Treasury Secretary Paulson as well.  I am not sure why investment brokers and representatives are so upset with government bailouts (said facetiously), THAT'S where the money is!!!  Laughing! 

Bill Gross, manager of the world's biggest bond fund, said the debt of consumer-finance companies is attractive after Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson announced plans to use the second half of the $700 billion financial rescue program to help relieve pressures on consumer credit.

American Express has been potentially admitted to the club in terms of capital injections,” Pacific Investment Management Co.'s Gross said in a Bloomberg Television interview. “These are excellent investments based on their associations with the government either through the FDIC guarantees or through the TARP program, and that's where I think an investor wants to go.”

Paulson, who shifted his focus on Nov. 12, initially sold the Troubled Asset Relief Program as a way to rid bank balance sheets of illiquid mortgage assets. American Express won Federal Reserve approval on Nov. 10 to become a commercial bank, which may help the New York-based company expand funding from consumer deposits and get access to the Treasury's bank rescue program. American Express has dropped 61 percent this year as more consumers fell behind on payments and doubt was raised about its own access to credit.

Yields on bonds backed by auto loans and credit-card debt stayed at record highs relative to benchmark interest rates. The gap, or spread, on top-rated credit card bonds maturing in three years remained at 525 basis points more than the London interbank offered rate, or Libor, according to Bank of America Corp. data.

Total Return Fund

Gross has recommended buying mortgage securities issued by government-sponsored enterprises such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the debt of banks that have sold stakes to the U.S. government. He advised against buying Treasuries, which his Total Return Fund has not held since December.

“If the Treasury is willing to partner with these institutions, why should we not be willing to join them, especially when we're getting yields higher than the Treasury is getting?” Gross said today. “That's a partnership that we think makes a lot of sense.”

I think a TARP is great for MY investments!! (What is left of them!)
 

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